تحلیل رفتار انتخاب نوع وسیله نقلیه در سفرهای بین شهری تحت تأثیر ویروس کووید-19 (مطالعه موردی: استان مازندران)

نوع مقاله : علمی - پژوهشی

نویسندگان
محمد باکری 1
فرشید رضا حقیقی 2
امیر ایزدی 3
1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مهندسی عمران، دانشکده فنی و مهندسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار، گروه مهندسی راه‌و‌ترابری، دانشکده مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه صنعتی نوشیروانی بابل، بابل، ایران
3 استادیار، گروه مهندسی راه‌و‌ترابری، دانشکده مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه شمال، آمل، ایران
10.22119/jte.2024.450928.2702
چکیده
پژوهش حاضر به تحلیل رفتار انتخاب سفر تحت تأثیر از ویروس کووید-19 و انتخاب شیوه‌های سفر بین شهری در استان مازندران می‌پردازد. اهداف این تحقیق شامل ارزیابی رفتار انتخاب شیوه سفر افراد تحت تأثیر ویروس کووید-19 می‌باشد. سؤالات اصلی تحقیق نیز بر روی اثرات ویروس کووید-19 بر رفتار انتخاب سفر افراد، عوامل فردی و اجتماعی-اقتصادی مؤثر در این انتخابات، متغیرهای زمان سفر، و شرایط رعایت پروتکل‌های بهداشتی در حمل‌و‌نقل عمومی تمرکز دارد. داده‌ها ابتدا با استفاده از روش نظرسنجی ترجیحی جمع‌آوری شدند، سپس آزمایش رتبه‌بندی برای ارزیابی خطر درک‌شده از کووید-19 انجام شد. در مرحله بعد، یک آزمایش انتخاب اصلی در حالت مشخص صورت گرفت و در نهایت، با استفاده از نظریه مدل‌سازی گسسته انتخاب، سهم سفرها پیش‌بینی شد. نتایج این تحقیق نشان داد که عوامل مختلفی، از جمله وقوع همه‌گیری ویروس کووید-19، عوامل فردی و اجتماعی-اقتصادی، متغیر زمان سفر، و شرایط رعایت پروتکل‌های بهداشتی، بر رفتار انتخاب سفر افراد تأثیرگذارند. یافته­های این پژوهش به منظور بهبود سیاست‌های بهداشت عمومی، مدیریت حمل‌و‌نقل عمومی و برنامه‌ریزی رویدادها در دوره‌های شیوع بیماری‌ها، راه حل‌های عملی را پیشنهاد می دهد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Examining Vehicle Choice Patterns for Intercity Travel During the COVID-19 Pandemic (Case Study: Mazandaran Province)

نویسندگان English

mohammad bakeri 1
Farshidreza Haghighi 2
Amir Izadi 3
1 Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Islamic Azad University of Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran
2 Associate Professor, Department of Road and Transportation Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Babol Noshirvani University of Technology, Babol, Iran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Road and Transportation Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Shomal University, Amol, Iran
چکیده English

The current study analyzes the travel choice behavior affected by the COVID-19 virus and the choice of intercity travel methods in Mazandaran province. The objectives of this research include the evaluation of the travel behavior of people affected by the COVID-19 virus. The main research questions also focus on the effects of the COVID-19 virus on people's travel choice behavior, individual and socio-economic factors influencing this choice, travel time variables, and the conditions for compliance with health protocols in public transportation. Data were first collected using a preference survey method, and then a ranking test was conducted to assess the perceived risk of COVID-19. In the next step, a main selection experiment was conducted in the specified mode and finally, using discrete selection modeling theory, the share of trips was predicted. The results of this research showed that various factors, including the outbreak of the COVID-19 virus, individual and socio-economic factors, the travel time variable, and the conditions for compliance with health protocols, affect people's travel choice behavior. The findings of this research suggest practical solutions in order to improve public health policies, public transportation management and event planning during disease outbreak periods.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Travel behavior, stated preference, perceived risk, discrete choice model
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  • تاریخ دریافت 15 فروردین 1403
  • تاریخ بازنگری 03 آبان 1403
  • تاریخ پذیرش 13 آبان 1403